Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 124.334250 141.688105 160.923214 183.881613 210.612240 240.840317 277.735701
2025-12-07 96.309735 117.967054 144.012806 177.853138 220.962020 274.445638 346.450615
2025-12-14 81.278203 104.717708 134.578822 175.815906 231.918018 306.492950 414.656944
2025-12-21 72.322206 97.069889 130.112508 178.098475 247.072986 344.282976 494.627482
2025-12-28 67.127860 93.385331 129.923501 185.419053 269.239861 393.849167 598.369166
2026-01-04 61.981173 88.941652 127.831646 189.272130 286.243931 437.474883 699.470325
2026-01-11 56.365293 83.073191 122.816337 187.800641 294.415382 467.918994 783.480754
2026-01-18 53.004195 80.150643 121.777096 192.154198 312.084321 515.657545 904.375124
2026-01-25 49.082714 75.915708 118.166476 191.754846 321.498994 550.285668 1007.023965
2026-02-01 46.139466 72.919165 116.170772 193.695063 334.976400 593.587765 1133.118367
2026-02-08 42.520755 68.468703 111.313353 190.061683 337.820068 617.409033 1224.207044
2026-02-15 40.117436 65.823149 109.222981 191.047568 349.210478 658.855990 1358.971097
2026-02-22 37.705858 63.209082 107.380651 193.143543 364.749053 714.395181 1544.223442
2026-03-01 34.200406 58.399098 101.243091 186.574017 362.544299 733.900919 1654.077869
2026-03-08 31.717239 55.172608 97.632537 184.413577 368.977425 772.816316 1819.372901
2026-03-15 30.090919 53.346433 96.414890 186.822315 385.363163 836.574085 2062.785416
2026-03-22 29.246880 52.888436 97.730361 194.550623 414.542462 935.236415 2425.029649
2026-03-29 28.049547 51.636983 97.352286 198.619192 436.002928 1019.336088 2770.530243
2026-04-05 26.371033 49.295496 94.557741 197.065336 443.963412 1070.949350 3035.016576
2026-04-12 25.440624 48.355678 94.525670 201.662835 467.563205 1167.974064 3469.633647
2026-04-19 24.119044 46.509146 92.421069 201.241075 478.509211 1232.857252 3819.946108
2026-04-26 23.118180 45.239036 91.420996 203.290217 496.173248 1320.262295 4276.306105
2026-05-03 21.712574 43.008476 88.135910 199.452976 497.599428 1360.648836 4577.114414